98953 leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 77% of adults in 98953 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 98953, ~27% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 98953 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 98953 leans more Republican than 7 of 8 neighbors.
98953 runs about 48 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while 98953 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 98953. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 98953 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 98953, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
98953 votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while 98953 runs about 48 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 84% of residents in 98953 drive to work alone, above 84% of zip codes.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 98953, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 98953 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 98953 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.