99501 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 53% of adults in 99501 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 99501, ~36% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 99501 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 99501 is the most Democratic-leaning.
99501 runs about 47 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99501 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 99501. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+44) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+28), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 99501 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 99501, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
99501 votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99501 runs about 47 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 99501 sits in the top quarter (about 36%, above 76% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 44% of adults in 99501 have never been married, above 91% of zip codes.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 99501, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 99501 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 99501 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 65% of households in 99501 rent, compared to around 50% in nearby zip codes. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in 99501 have more than one occupant per room, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.