99613 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 54% of adults in 99613 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 99613, ~27% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 99613 compares
99613 runs about 16 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99613 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 99613. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the west side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 99613 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 99613, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
99613 votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while 99613 runs about 16 points more Democratic.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; 99613, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 99613 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 44% of households in 99613 rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in 99613 have more than one occupant per room, above 87% of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 99613 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.