Applegate leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Applegate typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Applegate, ~25% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Applegate compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Applegate leans more Republican than 30 of 55 neighbors.
Applegate runs about 44 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Applegate is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Applegate. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Applegate leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Applegate, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Applegate votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Applegate runs about 44 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Applegate, CA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Applegate looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Applegate is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Heather Glen, CA R+23
- Meadow Vista, CA R+18
- Clipper Gap, CA R+25
- Weimar, CA R+26
- Auburn, CA R+12
- Greenwood, CA R+30
- Colfax, CA R+26
- North Auburn, CA R+13
- Cool, CA R+16
- Foresthill, CA R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Archer City, TX R+76
- East Hampton, NY D+37
- North Monmouth, ME R+13
- Martin, SD R+4
- Grandview Plaza, KS R+18
- Clarksville, IA R+46
- Moss Hill, TX R+76
- Winona, MO R+69
- Shively, WV R+72
- Bonnerdale, AR R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.