Arcadia leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Arcadia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arcadia, ~24% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arcadia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arcadia leans more Republican than 7 of 52 neighbors.
Arcadia runs about 19 points more Republican than Wisconsin as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Arcadia. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Arcadia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arcadia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Arcadia hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Wisconsin average of 26%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Arcadia, WI does.
Why turnout in Arcadia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Arcadia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Arcadia rent, above 91% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Arcadia report food insecurity, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tamarack, WI R+22
- Dodge, WI R+27
- Independence, WI R+28
- Iduna, WI R+32
- Waumandee, WI R+37
- Pine Creek, WI R+28
- Frenchville, WI R+25
- Whitehall, WI R+26
- Marshland, WI R+26
- Blair, WI R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oroville, WA R+42
- Forty Fort, PA R+5
- Boyce, LA R+32
- Heyworth, IL R+38
- Johnson Creek, WI R+29
- Carrollton, MO R+55
- Lakewood, NY R+13
- Gladwyne, PA D+32
- Nocona, TX R+65
- Shelby, AL R+78
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.