Arlington leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Arlington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arlington, ~30% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arlington compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arlington leans more Republican than 41 of 60 neighbors.
Arlington runs about 18 points more Republican than Wisconsin as a whole.
Why Arlington leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arlington, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 77% of households in Arlington are family households, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Arlington, WI does.
Why turnout in Arlington looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Arlington is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Arlington have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Leeds, WI R+22
- Morrisonville, WI D+3
- Poynette, WI R+17
- Norway Grove, WI R+8
- DeForest, WI D+17
- Lodi, WI R+9
- Rio, WI R+21
- Windsor, WI D+19
- Okee, WI R+18
- Dane, WI R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Simpson, NC R+15
- Pennsylvania Furnace, PA R+15
- Wallace, ID R+46
- Mountain City, TX R+9
- Aplington, IA R+46
- Linwood, MA R+6
- Russellville, OK R+68
- Donald, OR R+31
- Boston Heights, OH R+8
- Hueysville, KY R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.