Ash Fork leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Ash Fork typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ash Fork, ~12% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ash Fork compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ash Fork leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
Ash Fork runs about 42 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ash Fork. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Ash Fork leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ash Fork, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Ash Fork live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Ash Fork, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ash Fork looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ash Fork is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Ash Fork have more than one occupant per room, above 93% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 79% of adults in Ash Fork have completed high school, below 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Williams, AZ R+35
- Paulden, AZ R+52
- Seligman, AZ R+50
- Del Rio, AZ R+34
- Parks, AZ R+44
- Chino Valley, AZ R+42
- Valle, AZ R+9
- Tapco, AZ R+18
- Williamson, AZ R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Waynesfield, OH R+68
- Wetumka, OK R+56
- Cape Fair, MO R+57
- Rogers, OH R+57
- Gridley, IL R+47
- Fairmount Heights, MD D+81
- Sharon, TN R+65
- Kimball, TN R+56
- North Middleboro, MA R+4
- Guston, KY R+58
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.