Ashburn Farm leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Ashburn Farm typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashburn Farm, ~53% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashburn Farm compares
Ashburn Farm runs about 18 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Ashburn Farm leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashburn Farm, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 72% of adults in Ashburn Farm hold a bachelor's degree, about 44 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ashburn Farm, Ashburn, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Ashburn Farm looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Ashburn Farm is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ashburn Village, Ashburn, VA D+26
- Sterling Park, Sterling, VA D+23
- Darnestown, Gaithersburg, MD D+25
- West Gate, Sudley, VA D+17
- Merrifield, Fairfax, VA D+48
- West End Park, Rockville, MD D+55
- Pimmit Hills, Falls Church, VA D+33
- Mantua, Fairfax, VA D+40
- Weems, Manassas, VA D+11
- Croydon Park, Rockville, MD D+46
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Cow Hollow, San Francisco, CA D+64
- Central City, Salt Lake City, UT D+60
- Oakley, Cincinnati, OH D+44
- Alamo Farmsteads-Babcock Road, San Antonio, TX D+13
- Englewood Park, Orlando, FL D+17
- Muskego Way, Milwaukee, WI D+40
- Twin Lakes, Las Vegas, NV D+23
- Terrace, San Bernardino, CA D+23
- Applewood, Lakewood, CO D+26
- Olympic Hills, Seattle, WA D+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.