Mantua leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Mantua typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mantua, ~61% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mantua compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Mantua leans more Democratic than 3 of 5 neighbors.
Mantua runs about 34 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Why Mantua leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mantua, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 75% of adults in Mantua hold a bachelor's degree, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mantua, Fairfax, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mantua looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mantua is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Mantua have completed high school, above 82% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Merrifield, Fairfax, VA D+48
- Wakefield Park, Annandale, VA D+35
- North Springfield, Springfield, VA D+26
- Madison Condominium, Falls Church, VA D+45
- Pimmit Hills, Falls Church, VA D+33
- Lake Barcroft, Falls Church, VA D+41
- Arlington-East Falls, Arlington, VA D+57
- Williamsburg, Arlington, VA D+53
- Bailey's Crossroads, Falls Church, VA D+44
- Landmark-Van Dom, Alexandria, VA D+54
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Treme' Lafitte, New Orleans, LA D+76
- Hampden South, Denver, CO D+37
- Rolling Mill Hill, Wilkes-Barre, PA D+13
- Bashford Manor, Louisville, KY D+40
- Uptown, Milwaukee, WI D+76
- Tollgate Overlook, Aurora, CO D+36
- Montclair, Oakland, CA D+71
- Jacksonville Heights South, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Highland Park, Chattanooga, TN D+42
- Southside, Birmingham, AL D+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.