Aurora is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Aurora typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Aurora, ~11% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Aurora compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Aurora leans more Republican than 45 of 63 neighbors.
Aurora runs about 54 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Aurora leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Aurora, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 88% of households in Aurora are family households, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Aurora, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Aurora looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Aurora is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rhome, TX R+67
- Newark, TX R+60
- Boyd, TX R+74
- Pecan Acres, TX R+61
- New Fairview, TX R+68
- Briar, TX R+67
- Keeter, TX R+75
- Lucky Ridge, TX R+76
- Pelican Bay, TX R+50
- Haslet, TX R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clarissa, MN R+54
- Chilmark, MA D+68
- Mansfield, IL R+36
- Mountainair, NM R+33
- Pattonville, TX R+78
- Pine Knoll Shores, NC R+22
- Lennon Crossroads, NC R+35
- Paw Paw, IL R+35
- Belgrade, MN R+56
- Muir, MI R+48
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.