Mansfield leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Mansfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mansfield, ~32% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~-1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mansfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mansfield leans more Republican than 15 of 59 neighbors.
Mansfield runs about 47 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Mansfield is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mansfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mansfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mansfield votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 44%, modestly above the Illinois average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Mansfield runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Mansfield, IL does.
Why turnout in Mansfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mansfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Mansfield have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Galesville, IL R+41
- Harris, IL R+43
- Mahomet, IL R+11
- Osman, IL R+42
- White Heath, IL R+36
- Farmer City, IL R+46
- Kumler, IL R+47
- Seymour, IL R+36
- Lotus, IL R+45
- DeLand, IL R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lennon Crossroads, NC R+35
- Clarissa, MN R+54
- Chilmark, MA D+68
- Aurora, TX R+68
- Pine Knoll Shores, NC R+22
- Pattonville, TX R+78
- Mountainair, NM R+33
- Sanator, SD R+52
- Riceboro, GA D+45
- Redwood, TX R+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.