Pelican Bay leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Pelican Bay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pelican Bay, ~15% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pelican Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pelican Bay leans more Republican than 34 of 64 neighbors.
Pelican Bay runs about 36 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Pelican Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pelican Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Pelican Bay hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Pelican Bay runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Pelican Bay are family households, above 81% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Pelican Bay, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Pelican Bay looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pelican Bay is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Pelican Bay rent, above 84% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Pelican Bay have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Azle, TX R+58
- Sanctuary, TX R+69
- Pecan Acres, TX R+61
- Newark, TX R+60
- Briar, TX R+67
- Lakeside, TX R+46
- Haslet, TX R+33
- Lake Worth, TX R+19
- Aurora, TX R+68
- Saginaw, TX R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Malta, MT R+44
- Arcade, GA R+56
- Lyerly, GA R+75
- Vardaman, MS R+38
- Malvern, AL R+86
- West Hamlin, WV R+65
- Audubon, PA D+20
- Deckerville, MI R+44
- Monetta, SC R+30
- Pearson, TX R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.