Back Gate leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Back Gate typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Back Gate, ~11% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Back Gate compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Back Gate leans more Republican than 26 of 33 neighbors.
Back Gate runs about 18 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Back Gate. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Back Gate leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Back Gate, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Back Gate live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Back Gate sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 89% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Back Gate, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Back Gate looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Back Gate is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Back Gate rent, above 85% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Back Gate report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mitchellville, AR D+49
- Dumas, AR D+3
- Pendleton, AR R+52
- Red Fork, AR R+45
- Pickens, AR R+7
- Watson, AR R+33
- Reedville, AR R+65
- Winchester, AR R+14
- Gould, AR D+9
- Yukon, AR D+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Virginia City, MT R+50
- Lisman, KY R+48
- Wabasso, FL R+33
- Gray, IA R+57
- Oscar, TX R+68
- Leeds, SC Even
- Lenorah, TX R+78
- Peterson, UT R+64
- Stanleytown, VA R+41
- Lakeview Heights, MO R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.