Bagdad is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Bagdad typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bagdad, ~20% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bagdad compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bagdad leans more Republican than 20 of 33 neighbors.
Bagdad runs about 42 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Bagdad leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bagdad, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bagdad votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 35%, well below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Bagdad, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Bagdad looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Bagdad own their home, about 22 points above the Florida average of 71%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Milton, FL R+52
- East Milton, FL R+44
- Pace, FL R+52
- Ferry Pass, FL R+15
- Gulf Breeze, FL R+43
- Ensley, FL R+5
- Harold, FL R+43
- Brent, FL D+20
- Gonzalez, FL R+41
- Navarre, FL R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wolverine Lake, MI R+9
- Russell, KS R+55
- Port Monmouth, NJ R+26
- Henagar, AL R+80
- Colquitt, GA R+37
- Sodus, NY R+22
- Amelia Court House, VA R+39
- Newport, VT R+5
- Emerson, GA R+54
- New Hampton, IA R+35
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.