Harold leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Harold typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harold, ~25% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harold compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harold leans more Republican than 15 of 25 neighbors.
Harold runs about 30 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Harold leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harold, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Harold votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, well below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Harold are family households, above 84% of cities.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Harold, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Harold looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Harold is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Harold have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gulf Breeze, FL R+43
- Navarre, FL R+44
- Goulding, FL D+60
- Ferry Pass, FL R+15
- Brent, FL D+20
- West Pensacola, FL D+19
- Bagdad, FL R+55
- Pensacola, FL R+14
- Warrington, FL R+14
- Myrtle Grove, FL R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Francis, MN R+35
- North Sarasota, FL D+10
- Shepherdstown, WV R+2
- Monee, IL R+2
- North Madison, OH R+24
- Farmersville, TX R+58
- Montvale, NJ R+8
- Dewey, AZ R+33
- Central Valley, NY R+11
- Hollymead, VA D+8
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.