Baker leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 29% of adults in Baker typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baker, ~11% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~71% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baker compares
Baker runs about 47 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Baker is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Baker. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Baker leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baker, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Baker votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Baker runs about 47 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Baker sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Baker, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Baker looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Baker is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 12 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 56% of households in Baker rent, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in Baker report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Irwin, CA D+5
- Tecopa, CA D+15
- Sandy Valley, NV R+45
- Primm, NV R+11
- Newberry Springs, CA R+45
- Yermo, CA R+49
- Jean, NV R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Abbottsburg, NC R+42
- Filer City, MI R+16
- Linville, NC R+29
- Valdez, NM D+54
- Cox, GA R+27
- Still River, MA D+34
- Volga, IA R+45
- Hanley Falls, MN R+59
- Bagley, IA R+44
- Bessie, OK R+77
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.