Fort Irwin leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 14% of adults in Fort Irwin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fort Irwin, ~7% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~86% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fort Irwin compares
Fort Irwin runs about 15 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Fort Irwin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fort Irwin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Fort Irwin hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Fort Irwin have never been married, above 77% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Fort Irwin, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fort Irwin looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 99% of households in Fort Irwin rent, about 74 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Fort Irwin have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Yermo, CA R+49
- Newberry Springs, CA R+45
- Daggett, CA R+34
- Nebo Center, CA R+23
- Barstow, CA R+13
- Lenwood, CA R+23
- Baker, CA R+27
- Hinkley, CA R+41
- Lockhart, CA R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Orono, MN Even
- Torrington, WY R+56
- Savannah, MO R+50
- Mechanicstown, NY D+31
- Waite Park, MN D+5
- Halifax, MA R+14
- Black River Falls, WI R+11
- Oradell, NJ D+10
- Park City, IL D+28
- Scottdale, PA R+39
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.