Baker leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Baker typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baker, ~28% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baker compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Baker leans more Republican than 10 of 13 neighbors.
Politically, Baker sits close to the rest of Alabama.
Why Baker leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baker, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and Baker sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Baker, Mobile, AL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Baker looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Baker own their home, about 17 points above the Alabama average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Yorkwood, Mobile, AL R+29
- Cottage Park, Mobile, AL R+38
- Sheldon, Mobile, AL R+13
- Second Creek, Mobile, AL R+21
- Thornhill, Mobile, AL R+3
- Rothfield, Semmes, AL R+41
- Overton, Mobile, AL R+8
- Reichlieu, Mobile, AL D+21
- Milkhouse, Mobile, AL R+17
- Claremont, Mobile, AL R+18
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- 9th Ward, Wilmington, DE D+85
- Strawberry Manor, Sacramento, CA D+40
- Homewood North, Pittsburgh, PA D+83
- New West, Garland, TX D+33
- Palm Beach Lakes, West Palm Beach, FL D+58
- South Hill, Bellingham, WA D+67
- Boulevard Park, Sacramento, CA D+68
- Forest Park, Pine Hills, FL D+69
- Mack South, Cincinnati, OH R+51
- Colonial Heights, Sacramento, CA D+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.