Santa Rosa County leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Santa Rosa County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Santa Rosa County, ~21% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Santa Rosa County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Santa Rosa County leans more Republican than 3 of 4 neighbors.
Santa Rosa County runs about 36 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Santa Rosa County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Santa Rosa County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Santa Rosa County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 73% of households in Santa Rosa County are family households, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Santa Rosa County runs against that pattern.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Santa Rosa County, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Santa Rosa County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 81% of households in Santa Rosa County own their home, about 10 points above the Florida average of 71%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Escambia County, FL R+13
- Okaloosa County, FL R+34
- Escambia County, AL R+38
- Baldwin County, AL R+53
- Walton County, FL R+50
- Conecuh County, AL R+7
- Covington County, AL R+66
- Mobile County, AL R+8
- Monroe County, AL R+23
- Holmes County, FL R+71
Counties with Similar Populations
- Beaufort County, SC R+9
- Charlotte County, FL R+33
- Iredell County, NC R+23
- Tippecanoe County, IN D+9
- Newport News City, VA D+38
- Saginaw County, MI D+2
- Sarpy County, NE R+10
- DeSoto County, MS R+15
- Outagamie County, WI R+13
- El Dorado County, CA R+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.