Balm leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Balm typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Balm, ~20% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Balm compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Balm leans more Republican than 27 of 53 neighbors.
Balm runs about 15 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Balm. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Balm leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Balm, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Balm votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, far below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Balm are family households, above 90% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Balm, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Balm looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Balm is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Balm have completed high school, below 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wimauma, FL R+17
- Riverview, FL D+6
- Sun City Center, FL R+10
- Apollo Beach, FL R+17
- Gibsonton, FL D+4
- Fish Hawk, FL R+24
- Bloomingdale, FL R+15
- Ruskin, FL R+3
- Fort Lonesome, FL R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pearisburg, VA R+58
- Summertown, TN R+74
- Lake Norman of Catawba, NC R+40
- Lawrenceville, VA D+36
- Union Bridge, MD R+39
- Brusly, LA R+17
- Terrell Hills, TX R+9
- Peru, NY R+12
- Colfax, NC R+7
- Zephyrhills South, FL R+31
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.