Lake Norman of Catawba leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Lake Norman of Catawba typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Norman of Catawba, ~26% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Norman of Catawba compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Norman of Catawba leans more Republican than 22 of 52 neighbors.
Lake Norman of Catawba runs about 37 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lake Norman of Catawba. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Lake Norman of Catawba leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Norman of Catawba, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lake Norman of Catawba votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 27%, about 9 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lake Norman of Catawba, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Lake Norman of Catawba looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lake Norman of Catawba is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sherrills Ford, NC R+53
- Terrell, NC R+39
- Denver, NC R+36
- Catawba, NC R+54
- Mooresville, NC R+18
- Troutman, NC R+36
- Eufola, NC R+54
- Maiden, NC R+55
- Machpelah, NC R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Summertown, TN R+74
- Union Bridge, MD R+39
- Balm, FL R+28
- Pearisburg, VA R+58
- Terrell Hills, TX R+9
- Peru, NY R+12
- Lawrenceville, VA D+36
- Zephyrhills South, FL R+31
- Colfax, NC R+7
- Brusly, LA R+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.