Barclay is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Barclay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barclay, ~17% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Barclay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Barclay leans more Republican than 103 of 104 neighbors.
Barclay runs about 80 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Barclay is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Barclay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barclay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Barclay votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Barclay runs about 80 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Barclay sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 84% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Barclay are family households, above 83% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Barclay, MD sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Barclay looks the way it does
Turnout in Barclay sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sudlersville, MD R+50
- Ingleside, MD R+49
- Roberts, MD R+36
- Church Hill, MD R+29
- Marydel, MD R+48
- Crumpton, MD R+34
- Millington, MD R+35
- Starkey Corner, MD R+29
- Henderson, MD R+49
- Peacock Corners, MD R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oldport, MI R+37
- Long View, KY R+46
- Dilltown, PA R+59
- Trenary, MI R+27
- Rockdale, TN R+71
- Walnut Grove, TN R+78
- Steubenville, IN R+55
- Meloland, CA R+12
- Hartford City, WV R+62
- Eret, MS R+5
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.