Bard leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Bard typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bard, ~32% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bard is the most Democratic-leaning.
Bard runs about 7 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bard. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+21), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Bard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 44% of adults in Bard have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 20%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Bard, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Bard looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bard is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 21 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Bard rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Bard report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Winterhaven, CA D+24
- Laguna, AZ R+46
- Avenue B and C, AZ D+5
- Yuma, AZ R+9
- Fishers Landing, AZ R+46
- Dome, AZ R+41
- Fortuna Foothills, AZ R+32
- Somerton, AZ D+8
- Ligurta, AZ R+42
- Gadsden, AZ D+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Waterloo, WV R+70
- Sorgho, KY R+50
- Moorings, VA R+11
- Kolin, MT R+59
- Endee, KY R+80
- Endicott, WV R+66
- Pinkston, NC D+7
- Johnsondale, CA R+21
- Waverly, WI R+39
- Woodford, AL D+17
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.