Barnegat leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Barnegat typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barnegat, ~32% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Barnegat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Barnegat leans more Republican than 32 of 70 neighbors.
Barnegat runs about 33 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Barnegat is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Barnegat. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Barnegat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barnegat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Barnegat votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 66%, modestly above the New Jersey average of 61%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Barnegat are family households, above 78% of cities. Barnegat runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Barnegat, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Barnegat looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Barnegat is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ocean Acres, NJ R+33
- Waretown, NJ R+38
- Beach View, NJ R+24
- Mayetta, NJ R+32
- Manahawkin, NJ R+33
- Brookville, NJ R+27
- Forked River Beach, NJ R+40
- Warren Grove, NJ R+29
- West Creek, NJ R+39
- Forked River, NJ R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Camp Lejeune, NC R+3
- Bardstown, KY R+37
- Avon Park, FL R+22
- Rolling Meadows, IL D+14
- Zion, IL D+38
- Mountain House, CA D+12
- Solon, OH D+26
- Crawfordville, FL R+47
- Roselle, IL Even
- Wilmington, MA Even
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.