Barnesville leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Barnesville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Barnesville, ~23% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Barnesville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Barnesville leans more Republican than 44 of 61 neighbors.
Barnesville runs about 25 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Barnesville. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Barnesville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Barnesville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 93% of residents in Barnesville drive to work alone, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Barnesville sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Barnesville, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Barnesville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Barnesville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 14 points below the North Carolina average of 61%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Raynham, NC R+31
- Rowland, NC R+9
- McDonald, NC R+32
- Elrod, NC R+13
- Purvis, NC R+13
- Pembroke, NC R+11
- Fairmont, NC Even
- Echo, NC R+18
- Prospect, NC R+27
- Lumberton, NC R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grady, AR R+5
- Nininger, MN R+20
- Locke Mills, ME R+25
- Batchelor, LA R+26
- Buffington, PA R+28
- Thackery, OH R+57
- New Richmond, PA R+55
- Norway Grove, WI R+8
- West Shelby, NY R+44
- Tyner, IN R+51
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.