Bates, ID Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Bates

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Bates leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.

 

About 94% of adults in Bates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bates, ~31% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Bates compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Bates leans more Republican than 6 of 14 neighbors.

Politically, Bates sits close to the rest of Idaho.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bates. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 26 points.

Why Bates leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Bates live in densely developed areas, about 15 points below the Idaho average of 18%.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Bates, ID sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Bates looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Bates own their home, about 16 points above the Idaho average of 79%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Bates sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.