Bayfield leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Bayfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayfield, ~56% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bayfield leans more Democratic than 14 of 16 neighbors.
Bayfield runs about 49 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, and Bayfield sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bayfield. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+61) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+33), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Bayfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Bayfield votes against the grain of Wisconsin. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, while Bayfield runs about 49 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Bayfield sits in the top quarter (about 38%, above 85% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Bayfield, WI does.
Why turnout in Bayfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bayfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Red Cliff, WI D+60
- Salmo, WI D+33
- La Pointe, WI D+47
- Sand Bay, WI D+63
- Washburn, WI D+16
- Cornucopia, WI D+31
- Ashland, WI D+10
- New Odanah, WI D+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Waco, KY R+58
- Larchwood, IA R+64
- Evangeline, LA R+88
- Naval Air Station JRB, TX R+15
- Currituck, NC R+57
- Weeksville, NC R+45
- Shiloh, GA R+27
- Newark, AR R+70
- Heathcote, NJ D+32
- Lewiston, MN R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.