Baylor leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Baylor typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baylor, ~17% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baylor compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Baylor leans more Democratic than 6 of 10 neighbors.
Baylor runs about 21 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Baylor is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Baylor. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+20) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Baylor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baylor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in Baylor hold a bachelor's degree, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 84% of adults in Baylor have never been married, in the top fraction of neighborhoods. Baylor runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Baylor, Waco, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Baylor looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Baylor is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 13 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 93% of households in Baylor rent, compared to around 55% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Oakwood, Waco, TX Even
- University, Waco, TX D+15
- Alta Vista-Waco, Waco, TX Even
- Kendrick, Waco, TX D+2
- Brookview, Waco, TX D+6
- Carver, Waco, TX D+60
- North Waco, Waco, TX D+20
- Richland Hills, Waco, TX D+16
- Landon Branch, Waco, TX R+16
- Cedar Ridge, Waco, TX R+7
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Rexland Acres, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Grass Lawn, Redmond, WA D+50
- Avon Hill, Cambridge, MA D+79
- Cuyler, Chicago, IL D+76
- MacKenzie, Detroit, MI D+87
- Laurelglen, Bakersfield, CA R+15
- Sable Altura Chambers, Aurora, CO D+24
- Bayview Area, Baltimore, MD D+20
- Lincoln Village Proper, Stockton, CA D+2
- Edmund F Burton, Oak Park, IL D+75
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.