Bayview Area leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Bayview Area typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bayview Area, ~27% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bayview Area compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bayview Area leans more Democratic than 7 of 36 neighbors.
Bayview Area runs about 9 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bayview Area. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+60) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Bayview Area leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bayview Area, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Bayview Area live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bayview Area, Baltimore, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bayview Area looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bayview Area is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 16 points below the Maryland average of 64%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 32% of adults in Bayview Area report food insecurity, above 86% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 64% of adults in Bayview Area have completed high school, below 97% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Eastwood, Dundalk, MD R+6
- Norwood Park, Dundalk, MD R+14
- Highlandtown, Baltimore, MD D+55
- Canton, Baltimore, MD D+58
- Monument Street, Baltimore, MD D+14
- Patterson Park, Baltimore, MD D+74
- Eastfield, Dundalk, MD R+6
- Madison-Eastend, Baltimore, MD D+85
- Fells Point, Baltimore, MD D+70
- Turners, Dundalk, MD D+12
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Lincoln Village Proper, Stockton, CA D+2
- Edmund F Burton, Oak Park, IL D+75
- Sable Altura Chambers, Aurora, CO D+24
- Natomas Park, Sacramento, CA D+27
- North Rose Hill, Kirkland, WA D+45
- Avon Hill, Cambridge, MA D+79
- Grass Lawn, Redmond, WA D+50
- Rexland Acres, Bakersfield, CA D+8
- Baylor, Waco, TX D+8
- Forest Hills-Miami, Coral Springs, FL D+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.