Belleville is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Belleville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Belleville, ~7% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Belleville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Belleville leans more Republican than 37 of 52 neighbors.
Belleville runs about 40 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Belleville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Belleville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Belleville are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Belleville sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Belleville, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Belleville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Belleville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Belleville rent, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Corinth, AR R+71
- Danville, AR R+59
- Mount George, AR R+71
- Havana, AR R+71
- Mosley, AR R+69
- Marvinville, AR R+70
- Rover, AR R+71
- Plainview, AR R+69
- New Blaine, AR R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pengilly, MN R+26
- Tonieville, KY R+55
- North Cedar, IA R+19
- Sicily Island, LA R+63
- Thornton, KY R+66
- Thetford Center, VT D+41
- Guernsey, WY R+75
- Flatgap, KY R+75
- Phipps, WI R+17
- Pearlington, MS R+46
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.