Big Stone Gap leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Big Stone Gap typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Big Stone Gap, ~21% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Big Stone Gap compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Big Stone Gap is the least Republican-leaning.
Big Stone Gap runs about 50 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Big Stone Gap is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Big Stone Gap. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Big Stone Gap leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Big Stone Gap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Big Stone Gap votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 40%, modestly above the Virginia average of 26%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Big Stone Gap runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Big Stone Gap, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Big Stone Gap looks the way it does
Turnout in Big Stone Gap sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Irondale, VA R+68
- Oreton, VA R+63
- Appalachia, VA R+62
- Exeter, VA R+63
- Cracker Neck, VA R+75
- Jasper, VA R+65
- Verdi, VA R+75
Cities with Similar Populations
- Whitehall, MI R+18
- Bullard, TX R+63
- Sharon Hill, PA D+75
- Corona de Tucson, AZ R+23
- Madisonville, TX R+31
- Firebaugh, CA D+8
- Leonia, NJ D+23
- Bristol, IN R+45
- Effingham, SC R+20
- Macedon, NY R+17
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.