Birchwood Lakes leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Birchwood Lakes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Birchwood Lakes, ~27% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Birchwood Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Birchwood Lakes leans more Republican than 70 of 113 neighbors.
Birchwood Lakes runs about 28 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Birchwood Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Birchwood Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Birchwood Lakes votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 38%, above 83% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Birchwood Lakes, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Birchwood Lakes looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Birchwood Lakes have completed high school, about 5 points above the Pennsylvania average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dingmans Ferry, PA R+29
- Milford, PA R+23
- Hainesville, NJ R+39
- Tuttles Corner, NJ R+32
- Unity House, PA R+32
- Montague, NJ R+35
- Egypt Mills, PA R+21
- Hemlock Farms, PA R+7
- Twin Lakes, PA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clarendon, PA R+51
- Starksboro, VT D+9
- Moira, NY R+37
- Guy, AR R+65
- Liberty, TN R+67
- Okay, OK R+51
- Northwood, ND R+37
- Mendon, IL R+64
- Southwest City, MO R+53
- Foster, KY R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.