Blue Earth County leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Blue Earth County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Blue Earth County, ~33% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Blue Earth County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Blue Earth County leans more Republican than 2 of 12 neighbors.
Blue Earth County runs about 10 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Blue Earth County. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+44), a spread of about 56 points.
Why Blue Earth County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Blue Earth County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Blue Earth County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 53%, well above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Blue Earth County, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Blue Earth County looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 95% of adults in Blue Earth County have completed high school, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Nicollet County, MN R+9
- Waseca County, MN R+32
- Le Sueur County, MN R+32
- Watonwan County, MN R+29
- Faribault County, MN R+38
- Brown County, MN R+37
- Sibley County, MN R+48
- Steele County, MN R+22
- Rice County, MN Even
- Martin County, MN R+38
Counties with Similar Populations
- Greenwood County, SC R+18
- Harrison County, TX R+39
- Klamath County, OR R+33
- Troup County, GA R+11
- San Patricio County, TX R+31
- Wise County, TX R+69
- Franklin County, NC R+18
- Columbia County, FL R+44
- Ward County, ND R+32
- Iberia Parish, LA R+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.