Buffalo Hill leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Buffalo Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Buffalo Hill, ~21% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Buffalo Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Buffalo Hill leans more Republican than 51 of 74 neighbors.
Buffalo Hill runs about 48 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Buffalo Hill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Buffalo Hill. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Buffalo Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Buffalo Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Buffalo Hill votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Buffalo Hill runs about 48 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Buffalo Hill, VA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Buffalo Hill looks the way it does
Turnout in Buffalo Hill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Glasgow, VA R+38
- Amherst, VA R+34
- Clifford, VA R+53
- Sweet Briar, VA R+25
- Tye River, VA R+28
- Lowesville, VA R+38
- Arrington, VA R+31
- Piney River, VA R+23
- Coolwell, VA R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Almelund, MN R+42
- Cleveland, AR R+63
- Old Spring Hill, AL R+36
- Kellogg, KS R+50
- High Water, OH R+54
- Mize, KY R+64
- Nettleridge, VA R+56
- Ireland, WV R+63
- Pin Hook, NC R+59
- Morrill, KS R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.