Caldwell leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Caldwell typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Caldwell, ~25% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Caldwell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Caldwell leans more Republican than 2 of 90 neighbors.
Politically, Caldwell sits close to the rest of West Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Caldwell. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 45 points.
Why Caldwell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Caldwell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Caldwell drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Caldwell, WV sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Caldwell looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Caldwell is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 59%, below 58% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lewisburg, WV R+23
- Maxwelton, WV R+52
- Fairlea, WV R+30
- Teaberry, WV R+54
- Friars Hill, WV R+56
- Ronceverte, WV R+48
- Organ Cave, WV R+54
- Frankford, WV R+56
- White Sulphur Springs, WV R+40
- Richland, WV R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ocean Breeze Park, FL R+31
- Deadwood, SD R+49
- Swanville, MN R+66
- Burson, CA R+44
- Freedom, NH R+4
- Chebanse, IL R+49
- Grace, ID R+75
- Warwick, GA R+53
- Scribner, NE R+48
- Lake Cormorant, MS R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from West Virginia Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.