Capitol is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Capitol typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Capitol, ~59% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Capitol compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Capitol leans more Democratic than 4 of 16 neighbors.
Capitol runs about 61 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, and Capitol sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Capitol. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+75) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+52), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Capitol leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Capitol, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Capitol votes against the grain of Wisconsin. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, while Capitol runs about 61 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Capitol sits in the top quarter (about 58%, above 78% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 90% of adults in Capitol have never been married, in the top fraction of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Capitol, Madison, WI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Capitol looks the way it does
Turnout in Capitol sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- South Campus, Madison, WI D+51
- Greenbush, Madison, WI D+71
- Tenney-Lapham, Madison, WI D+82
- Regent, Madison, WI D+75
- Marquette, Madison, WI D+86
- Dudgeon-Monroe, Madison, WI D+87
- Sunset Village, Madison, WI D+84
- Moorland-Rimrock, Madison, WI D+54
- Schenk-Atwood-Starkweather-Yahar, Madison, WI D+85
- Sherman, Madison, WI D+71
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Holmesburg, Philadelphia, PA D+22
- West Lawn, Chicago, IL D+32
- Aliamanu, Honolulu, HI D+13
- Olney, Philadelphia, PA D+68
- Mililani Waipio Melemanu, Mililani, HI D+17
- Northwest, Reno, NV Even
- Ashburn, Chicago, IL D+56
- Carrollwood, Tampa, FL R+5
- North Side, Mount Vernon, NY D+61
- Payne Phallen, St. Paul, MN D+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.