Payne Phallen leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Payne Phallen typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Payne Phallen, ~37% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Payne Phallen compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Payne Phallen leans more Democratic than 2 of 12 neighbors.
Payne Phallen runs about 36 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Payne Phallen. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+33), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Payne Phallen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Payne Phallen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 50% of adults in Payne Phallen have never been married, well above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 34%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Payne Phallen, St. Paul, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Payne Phallen looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 29% of adults in Payne Phallen report food insecurity, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Payne Phallen have completed high school, below 88% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Payne Phallen sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Dayton's Bluff, St. Paul, MN D+46
- North End, St. Paul, MN D+45
- Greater Eastside, St. Paul, MN D+32
- Downtown Minneapolis, St. Paul, MN D+64
- Thomas-Dale, St. Paul, MN D+53
- Battle Creek, St. Paul, MN D+39
- Summit-University, St. Paul, MN D+72
- West Side, St. Paul, MN D+46
- Como, St. Paul, MN D+61
- Summit Hill, St. Paul, MN D+71
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Carrollwood, Tampa, FL R+5
- Ettingville, Staten Island, NY R+54
- Rhodes Ranch, Spring Valley, NV D+12
- North Lawndale, Chicago, IL D+78
- Northwest, Reno, NV Even
- Torresdale, Philadelphia, PA R+10
- Berryessa, San Jose, CA D+22
- Scripps Ranch, San Diego, CA D+20
- West End, Tacoma, WA D+33
- Aliamanu, Honolulu, HI D+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.