Cardwell is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Cardwell typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cardwell, ~10% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cardwell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cardwell leans more Republican than 24 of 75 neighbors.
Cardwell runs about 47 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cardwell. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+77) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Cardwell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cardwell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Cardwell drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Cardwell sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 94% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Cardwell, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Cardwell looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cardwell is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 13 points below the Missouri average of 57%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 51% of households in Cardwell rent, compared to around 21% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Cardwell report food insecurity, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Arbyrd, MO R+71
- Happy Corners, AR R+69
- Hollywood, MO R+76
- Leachville, AR R+72
- Schug, AR R+69
- Senath, MO R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Agatha, ME R+39
- Landrum, GA R+53
- Taylorsville, TX R+50
- Swift, TX R+66
- Sampson, MO R+70
- Popcorn, IN R+56
- North Warren, PA R+42
- Crescent Lake, ME D+3
- Five Forks, VA R+51
- New Winchester, IN R+57
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.