Carnes is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Carnes typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carnes, ~8% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carnes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carnes leans more Republican than 18 of 32 neighbors.
Carnes runs about 48 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carnes. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+79) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+57), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Carnes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carnes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Carnes drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Carnes, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Carnes looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carnes is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 11%, about 49 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in Carnes have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pistol Ridge, MS R+76
- Maxie, MS R+78
- Brooklyn, MS R+76
- Rock Hill, MS R+74
- Bond, MS R+31
- Seneca, MS R+48
- Wiggins, MS R+42
- McLaurin, MS R+74
- Lumberton, MS R+64
- Talowah, MS R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Toro Canyon, CA D+31
- Zion, PA R+38
- Walthall, MS R+73
- Sweeden, KY R+68
- Woodberry, AR R+69
- Slabtown, OH R+65
- Free Trade, MS R+40
- Mapleton, WI R+41
- Kanaranzi, MN R+63
- Snydertown, PA R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.