Carrabelle Beach is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Carrabelle Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carrabelle Beach, ~10% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carrabelle Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carrabelle Beach is the most Republican-leaning.
Carrabelle Beach runs about 58 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Carrabelle Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carrabelle Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Carrabelle Beach live in densely developed areas, about 52 points below the Florida average of 57%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Carrabelle Beach, FL does.
Why turnout in Carrabelle Beach looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Carrabelle Beach own their home, about 22 points above the Florida average of 71%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Carrabelle Beach sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carrabelle, FL R+48
- Lanark Village, FL R+54
- Eastpoint, FL R+53
- Curtis Mill, FL R+64
- Apalachicola, FL R+34
- Bay City, FL R+70
- Sopchoppy, FL R+57
- Panacea, FL R+55
- Panacea Park, FL R+49
- White City, FL R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Poultney, VT R+24
- Magra, CA R+36
- Corona, NM R+54
- Rush River, MN R+45
- Unionvale, OR R+33
- College Station, AR D+84
- Coyote, NM D+22
- Mays, IN R+66
- Nemaha, IA R+51
- Kensal, ND R+56
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.