Curtis Mill, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Curtis Mill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Curtis Mill is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.

 

About 77% of adults in Curtis Mill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Curtis Mill, ~14% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Curtis Mill compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Curtis Mill leans more Republican than 9 of 13 neighbors.

Curtis Mill runs about 51 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Curtis Mill. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+49), a spread of about 27 points.

Why Curtis Mill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Curtis Mill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Curtis Mill live in densely developed areas, about 52 points below the Florida average of 57%.

Developed land and Republican lean

Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Curtis Mill, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Curtis Mill looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Curtis Mill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.