Carrabelle leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Carrabelle typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carrabelle, ~11% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carrabelle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carrabelle leans more Republican than 1 of 10 neighbors.
Carrabelle runs about 35 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carrabelle. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Carrabelle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carrabelle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Carrabelle hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points below the Florida average of 31%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Carrabelle, FL does.
Why turnout in Carrabelle looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Carrabelle is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 17 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Carrabelle rent, above 82% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 71% of adults in Carrabelle have completed high school, below 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Carrabelle Beach, FL R+71
- Lanark Village, FL R+54
- Curtis Mill, FL R+64
- Eastpoint, FL R+53
- Sopchoppy, FL R+57
- Panacea, FL R+55
- Panacea Park, FL R+49
- Apalachicola, FL R+34
- Medart, FL R+57
- Bay City, FL R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Marathon, NY R+45
- Hinton, WV R+41
- Malad City, ID R+73
- Lakeside-Marblehead, OH R+26
- Southern Shores, NC R+11
- Hickory, KY R+67
- Eielson Afb, AK R+19
- Polo, IL R+30
- Colfax, IA R+31
- Courtland, MS R+14
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.