Carroll County leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Carroll County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carroll County, ~20% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carroll County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Carroll County leans more Republican than 11 of 12 neighbors.
Carroll County runs about 18 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Carroll County. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+85), a spread of about 104 points.
Why Carroll County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carroll County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 7% of residents in Carroll County live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Mississippi average of 15%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Carroll County, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Carroll County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 83% of households in Carroll County own their home, about 6 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Montgomery County, MS R+2
- Leflore County, MS D+53
- Grenada County, MS R+15
- Holmes County, MS D+60
- Attala County, MS R+13
- Tallahatchie County, MS D+20
- Sunflower County, MS D+35
- Humphreys County, MS D+43
- Choctaw County, MS R+37
- Webster County, MS R+60
Counties with Similar Populations
- Jackson County, MN R+42
- Yuma County, CO R+60
- Ochiltree County, TX R+58
- Madison Parish, LA D+6
- Franklin County, IA R+43
- Perry County, AR R+62
- Lewis County, MO R+59
- Keokuk County, IA R+47
- Marshall County, KS R+53
- Nome Census Area, AK D+23
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.