Choctaw County leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Choctaw County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Choctaw County, ~21% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Choctaw County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Choctaw County leans more Republican than 11 of 14 neighbors.
Choctaw County runs about 14 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Choctaw County. The east side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+83), a spread of about 84 points.
Why Choctaw County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Choctaw County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 13% of residents in Choctaw County live in densely developed areas, about 24 points below the U.S. average of 36%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Choctaw County, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Choctaw County looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Choctaw County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Webster County, MS R+60
- Winston County, MS R+10
- Oktibbeha County, MS D+3
- Attala County, MS R+13
- Montgomery County, MS R+2
- Clay County, MS D+18
- Carroll County, MS R+40
- Neshoba County, MS R+31
- Calhoun County, MS R+39
- Noxubee County, MS D+49
Counties with Similar Populations
- Lafayette County, FL R+65
- Hamilton County, TX R+69
- Oscoda County, MI R+44
- Hickory County, MO R+62
- Prairie County, AR R+64
- Houston County, TN R+64
- Atkinson County, GA R+57
- Dawes County, NE R+39
- Nevada County, AR R+27
- Franklin City, VA D+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.