Celoron, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Celoron

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Celoron leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Celoron typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Celoron, ~28% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Celoron compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Celoron leans more Republican than 5 of 95 neighbors.

Celoron runs about 22 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Celoron is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Celoron leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Celoron, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Celoron votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 58%, well above the New York average of 36%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Celoron runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Celoron, NY does.

Why turnout in Celoron looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 41% of households in Celoron rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Celoron sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Celoron have completed high school, below 77% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.