Centerville leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 60% of adults in Centerville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centerville, ~33% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centerville compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Centerville leans more Democratic than 1 of 3 neighbors.
Centerville runs about 7 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole.
Why Centerville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centerville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Centerville, about 82% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Rhode Island average of 39%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Centerville, West Warwick, RI sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Centerville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Centerville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Dauphin Acres, Mobile, AL D+32
- Yorkville, Pottsville, PA R+18
- Rufus King, Milwaukee, WI D+87
- Lakeview, Waltham, MA D+41
- Mountain View, South Valley, NM D+12
- Alamance Hills, Burlington, NC D+31
- Berkleigh, Mobile, AL R+24
- Rosewood, Austin, TX D+62
- O Henry Oaks, Greensboro, NC D+60
- Garrison, Owings Mills, MD D+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.