Arctic leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 53% of adults in Arctic typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arctic, ~29% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arctic compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arctic leans more Democratic than 3 of 4 neighbors.
Arctic runs about 6 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole.
Why Arctic leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arctic, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Arctic, about 85% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points below the Rhode Island average of 39%.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with low high-school-completion share tend to turn out at a lower rate; Arctic, West Warwick, RI sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Arctic looks the way it does
Turnout in Arctic sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- River Point, West Warwick, RI D+11
- Centerville, West Warwick, RI D+7
- Greenwood, Warwick, RI Even
- Oaklawn, Cranston, RI Even
- Wildes Corner, Warwick, RI D+3
- Garden City, Cranston, RI D+10
- Knightsville, Cranston, RI D+10
- Oakland Beach, Warwick, RI D+5
- Auburn, Cranston, RI D+18
- Lakewood, Warwick, RI D+12
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Orem North, Orem, UT R+26
- Falcon Trace, Southchase, FL D+10
- Riverside Park, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+34
- Lewelling, Milwaukie, OR D+39
- Sedgefield, Charlotte, NC D+27
- Park East, Sarasota, FL D+13
- North Riverside, Wichita, KS D+10
- Garden Springs, Lexington, KY D+24
- Alban Hills, Albuquerque, NM D+10
- South East Hills, Erie, PA D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.