Cerrillos leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Cerrillos typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cerrillos, ~57% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cerrillos compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cerrillos leans more Democratic than 17 of 25 neighbors.
Cerrillos runs about 44 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cerrillos. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+66) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+30), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Cerrillos leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cerrillos, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in Cerrillos hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cerrillos, NM sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Cerrillos looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cerrillos is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Madrid, NM D+66
- Domingo, NM D+20
- Cedar Grove, NM R+24
- Santo Domingo Pueblo, NM D+44
- Sandia Park, NM Even
- San Felipe Pueblo, NM D+57
- Algodones, NM D+51
- La Cienega, NM D+34
- Pena Blanca, NM D+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Irishtown, PA R+42
- Winfield, FL R+49
- Summerville, OR R+48
- Veazey, GA R+40
- South Wayne, WI R+42
- Scranton, AR R+59
- Woodlawn, NC R+53
- Pine Springs, MS R+69
- Warner, SD R+55
- Coal Mountain, WV R+81
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.