Chemung County leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Chemung County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chemung County, ~29% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chemung County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Chemung County leans more Republican than 2 of 11 neighbors.
Chemung County runs about 26 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Chemung County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Chemung County. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+39) and the west side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Chemung County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chemung County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Chemung County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 59%, well above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Chemung County runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Chemung County, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Chemung County looks the way it does
Turnout in Chemung County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Schuyler County, NY R+23
- Bradford County, PA R+49
- Tioga County, NY R+27
- Steuben County, NY R+32
- Tompkins County, NY D+49
- Tioga County, PA R+50
- Yates County, NY R+28
- Broome County, NY D+3
- Cortland County, NY R+17
- Sullivan County, PA R+50
Counties with Similar Populations
- Orangeburg County, SC D+28
- Wood County, WV R+41
- Crawford County, PA R+39
- Cascade County, MT R+25
- Glynn County, GA R+14
- Rockingham County, VA R+40
- Howard County, IN R+30
- Barrow County, GA R+36
- Buchanan County, MO R+23
- Midland County, MI R+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.