Chesapeake leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Chesapeake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chesapeake, ~44% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chesapeake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chesapeake leans more Democratic than 15 of 21 neighbors.
Politically, Chesapeake sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chesapeake. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+51) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 73 points.
Why Chesapeake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chesapeake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 74% of residents in Chesapeake live in densely developed areas, about 38 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Chesapeake sits in the top quarter (about 37%, above 84% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Chesapeake have never been married, above 76% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Chesapeake, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Chesapeake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Chesapeake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Portsmouth, VA D+41
- Norfolk, VA D+43
- Virginia Beach, VA D+18
- Suffolk, VA D+20
- Dawley Corners, VA R+48
- Fort Monroe, VA D+13
- Moyock, NC R+50
- Carrollton, VA R+11
- Snowden, NC R+49
- South Mills, NC R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tacoma, WA D+33
- Garland, TX D+15
- West Palm Beach, FL D+16
- Irving, TX D+17
- Alexandria, VA D+52
- Anchorage, AK D+23
- Laredo, TX Even
- Modesto, CA Even
- Norfolk, VA D+43
- Lawrenceville, GA D+25
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.